2.21.2015 Results: 4-1 +4.0 Units

CBB RAW NUMBERS

Game	Score	Status	Pick	Amount
Cornell	51	7:00 PM ET	Cornell +10	1.00
Yale	62		One point loss

Since 2006, bad offenses (ppg < 1 stdev from median) are 455-298-14 (60.4%) ATS as big, undervalued road dogs. PENNSYLVANIA +15.5 and COLUMBIA -1 both come very close. I might put down a little on the side with these later depending on how lines move… Cornell is mostly a technical play, but my two cents is that the line is too high….linesmakers know how the public would react to a 21 points loss….but it was on the road and Courtney (head coach of Cornell) is in a “spot” here now. A couple of areas that I could see Yale struggling or slacking with will be in their rebounding ability and their ability to create turnovers / takeaways against Cornell thus leading to a closer game than 10 points. Sprinkle in a little predicted motivation that Cornell might have….we’re buying at a valued low here and selling off high. Similar things with Penn and Columbia… NHL RAW NUMBERS

Game	Score	Status	Pick	Amount
Colorado (W)	4	8:30 PM ET	Colorado +205	1.00
Chicago	1		WINNER!

Balls to the wall. +205 on Colorado. 32% implied odds of this bet winning by Vegas and raw numbers say it is better than +50% chance that ‘Rado takes the cake. That’s a hell of an edge… *NHL Raw Numbers (Basics) are 135-70 +38.62 Units* In Database history, non weekend road dogs are 262-251 +115.27 units SU in Feb. This system is up +10.07 units this season. NBA RAW NUMBERS

Game	Score	Status	Pick	Amount
Chicago	91	7:30 PM ET	Detroit +6	1.00
Detroit (W)	100		WINNER!
Cleveland (W)	127	8:00 PM ET	Cleveland -3	1.00
Washington	89		WINNER!
Brooklyn (W)	114	10:30 PM	Brooklyn -3	1.00
L.A. Lakers	105		WINNER!

Since 1995, very well rested teams off of a home loss are 150-103 (59.3%, plus over 55 units) SU and 149-100-4 ATS. + Since 2003, team between +2 and -13.5 points (small dogs or favs) that last played on the road are 43-16 ATS in the first game after all star break. + Since 2009, teams that just lost in an upset as a favorite to a divisional opponent are 127-73-6 (63.5%) ATS and 146-60 (70.9%) SU when facing a team seeking revenge for a loss in their previous matchup. + Raw numbers on the three. Best of luck guys, PCG