Key Trends for NCAAF Betting This Week

NCAAF Betting RAW NUMBERS​
Week 6 Action:

–Top Plays (0)

None this week…

–Runner Ups (4)

10/10/15 2:00 PM Miami, I, Ohio vs Ohio
Ohio -16
1.25 units

10/10 Iowa State vs Texas Tech
Iowa State +13
1.25 units

10/10/7:00 PM New Mexico vs Nevada
UNDER 55.5
1.25 units

10/10:00 PM Michigan State vs. Rutgers
UNDER 52.5
1.25 units

–Rest of the Herd (5)

10/11 12:00 PM: Middle Tennessee State vs. Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky -7.5
1 unit

Akron

109:00 PM 9:00 PM San Jose State vs UNLV
UNLV +3
1 unit

110:00 PM 10:00 PM Colorado vs Arizona State
Arizona State -14.5
1 unit

10/11/15 12:00 AM San Diego State vs Hawaii
UNDER 46
1 unit

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*All Selections are supported by Raw Numbers greater than 1 TDs edge
(Systems and Trends as well as some)
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Other Thoughts:

In Ohio:
Since 1989, a team that has just lost as an underdog and gained 22 or more first downs has a 59.3% ATS record. This is against a team coming off a loss, at 214-312-8.

In Texas:
Same system, but a subset: A team that just lost as a dog but got at least 22 first downs chokes are 161-275-8 ATS (36.9%) vs. a team off a win in which they score 17+ points.

In Nevada:
Two Systems here: Double-digitt favorite off a game with over 300 rushing yards yields an O/U of 223-344-15 (-2.44, 39.3%) – opp. put up more than 45 rushing yards last game; team is off of 6 or more days rest.
+
The Under is 74-36-1- 67.3% after a team put up >40 pass and <210 passing yards. At Rutgers’: The O/U is 140-233-8 (-2.61, 37.5%) when a team is off of a game as a favorite in which they had between 22 and 36 minutes of possession; total>40 and team off of 6 or more days rest.
+
A double-digit favorite off a game with over 300 rushing yards yields an O/U of 223-344-15 (-2.44, 39.3%) – opp. put up more than 45 rushing yards last game; team is off of 6 or more days rest.

*NFL will be out Tomorrow or Friday

Best of luck,
Tom