Sports Betting Systems and Raw Numbers Update

Yesterday: 6-2 +3.48 units. So close on the big +170 dog in NHL which would have been a massive day. Let’s keep em coming… Goal: Aiming for 700 units by at least the end of this year (email picks).   Big Update: CBB Raw numbers continue on the war path going 11-1 ATS yesterday for any edge over +1.00. They were 14-5 for the standard edges of 0.5 plus! That brings it to 872-745 53.9% +89.75 units ATS for NCAAB 2015 season Raw numbers…   I’ve gained confidence even before the lousy 0-4 day. I think that is something you guys don’t see (at least, whomever is following just the emails). Everything is technical, but when the raw numbers aren’t coming through or they are, I don’t question it all the much, but it IS important for my to try and make some logic out of it. For example, the raw numbers in MLB slacked since 2012 so I racked my brain thinking what the logic could be in that. It is only a guess, but the correlation doesn’t seem coincidental: you have one team change a division, MLB added a wild card spot and instant replay was invoked. Would that change the performance of my model? Always debatable; however, I think at least one of those made sense: if another wild card spot was added, wouldn’t the final month of MLB reg. season be more competitive? I think that is exactly what happened each year since then; not only that, a slew of my late season Systems that would exploit the dulling of competitiveness failed. So since 2012, I’ve finally decided to adjust this sector (minor adjustment) of the MLB raw numbers and importantly, I have a better, logical grasp on the sport.   Me having a logical grasp on sports is an area where I lack. I like NFL and MLB, but have never claimed to be a real big sports fan. I make sure to know sports fans, and in a later email, I will quote you something my friend Adam said about the pace of NBA quickening. There are things to explore there, but my hypothesis for now is that the exploit in NBA (and this isn’t really from a betting standpoint so much as a coaching one) would be to avoid trying to be the Golden State Warriors. Stay traditional. Lots of teams ARE indeed winning right now speeding up the game; however, look at the second place in the league San Antonio Spurs at 40-8 SU .833 — They’re only 22nd in the league for PACE (Golden State is #2 at 99.3). The Heat, Cavs, Memphis, Toronto….all last in the league for Pace keeping the game slowed down and all above .500   CBB I haven’t looked into as much. I’ll take +88 units for the most basic raw number edge. All in all, I don’t think there are a ton of questions to ask with NCAAB in terms of what is changing. I appreciate your feedback and observations if and when you guys have any!