NCAAF Betting RAW NUMBERSWeek 6 Action: –Top Plays (0) None this week… –Runner Ups (4) 10/10/15 2:00 PM Miami, I, Ohio vs Ohio Ohio -16 1.25 units 10/10 Iowa State vs Texas Tech Iowa State +13 1.25 units 10/10/7:00 PM New Mexico vs Nevada UNDER 55.5 1.25 units 10/10:00 PM Michigan State vs. Rutgers UNDER 52.5 1.25 units –Rest of the Herd (5) 10/11 12:00 PM: Middle…
In the News: Gambling on Betting Systems and the Super Bowl The odds in all forms of gambling remain static and fixed, but people will employ any number of superstitions or betting systems in an attempt to defy these odds. As an example, the gambler’s fallacy is the mistaken belief that, if something happens … Daily Top Betting Systems and Trends: The Houston Rockets are 12-0 ATS…
Split the Top plays last week 1-1 (so 4-1 now since week 4; when I said to start betting). The Seahawks cashed by a mile like all 3 top plays before it, but Philly seems like it was called wrong. Looking back, maybe it should have been a runner up as it was 90% a technical play. With the Seahawks, we had the added angle that, if…
2-4 ATS in Week 1. Read the previous email (NCAAF Week 3). Here’s what I said last week verbatim: “Let me say the same thing I said in NCAAF Week 1 and 2: Don’t go heavy yet…” Week 3-4 is usually when we start building momentum. Anyways…you know the drill. Week 2 is an overreaction week usually. The public won big time over the books last week…and since I’m…
NHL RAW NUMBERS Three team parlay: WINNER! #011 Anaheim ML #007 Boston ML #013-14 UNDER 5.5 (0.22 units to win 1 unit) Raw numbers + Systems on all of these. In database history, conference teams between .450 and .570 are 258-175 +80.77 units in March off of a 1-2 game winning streak vs. a decent plus .400 team. Active for Boston. Raw number “Basic” on Anaheim. *Those…
Alabama is 14-2 (+19.06, 87.5%) SU under head coach Nick Saban at home after four or more straight wins. That is quite an impressive record; however, we’re more interested in the following stat: Under head coach Nick Saban, the Crimson Tide are 14-0-1 (-8.70 ppg) UNDER the Vegas total in the same situation. The average total was 45.1 in those games. This week, the Tide will face…
The New England Patriots are 19-3-0 (+11.59 ppg, 86.4%) SU 15-6-1 (+8.3 ppg, 71.4%) ATS under head coach Bill Belichick on the road after allowing 76 or fewer rushing yards. This week, they’ll square off against the Cincinnati Bengals on the road for +1 point with a Vegas Total set at 45.0. Check out the Raw Numbers Today to see who takes this cake!
The Atlanta Falcons are 21-3-0 (+11.21 ppg, 87.5%) SU and 18-5 ATS since 2008 after a loss Under Head Coach Mike Smith. That’s 12-1 (92.3%) SU if the last loss was to a division rival. This week, the Falcons will take on the Rams at home for -6.5 points and a vegas total set at 47.5.
*Indiana is just 3-18 (-13.38 ppg, 14.3%) SU under head coach Kevin Wilson after one or more straight games going Over the total. They’re also 16-5-0 OVER the total in the next game.
*The Texas Longhorns are 151-44 SU (+15.96 ppg, 77.4%) under head coach Mack Brown. **That’s a massive 14-1 (+25.13 ppg, 93.3%) SU and 11-4 ATS with the total set high between 63 and 70.
Pretty simple here: Since 1990, home favorites in week one are 40-16-5 (+5.69 ppg, 71.4%) ATS if they are facing a team who had a betting win record last season than they did. Since 2001, that is 30-7 SU and 27-8 (+5.2 ppg, 77.1%) ATS [avg. line -3.5] (same conditions). This week consider a second look at the following teams: Broncos -7.5 Browns -1.0 Cowboys -3.5 Lions…
Since 2008, Washington State is just 10-48-0 (-18.38 ppg, 17.2%) SU on the weekend. People must have thought that when Mike Leach arrived in 2012, things would change, but if you took all of his opponents on the moneyline, you’d be up a tremendous amount in just 10 games. Under head coach Mike Leach, Washington State is just 1-9 SU (-15.3 ppg, 10%, +18.95 units) playing on…
Since 2011, the Philadelphia Eagles are just 8-16-0 (33.3%) SU and 8-16-0 (-4.92, 33.3%) ATS [avg. line -1.1] against conference opponents. On Monday, they’ll square off against the Washington Redskins as +3.5 road underdogs with a Vegas line set at 51.5. A lot of compelling storylines here such as Chip Kelly and Michael Vick’s new offense and also RG3 returning from a devastating knee injury. None of…
Since 2004, the San Diego Chargers are 18-3 SU (+12.48 ppg, 85.7%) and 19-2-0 (90.5%, +11.76 ppg) ATS [avg. line -0.7] when facing AFC South teams. On Monday, they’ll face off against the Houston Texans at home in San Diego for +3.5 points and a Vegas total set at 44.5. Will the home dog take this one or will they come out the gates terribly as they…
The New York Mets are 52-49 +14.35 units SU as 150 or less road underdogs under Manager Terry Collins; a so-so stat, yet a profit nonetheless. *What is truly remarkable though, is that these games went 69-27-5 (+2.08 rpg, 71.9%) for the OVER yielding +$3,970.00 for $100 bettors (or a +35.9% roi profit)! For statisticians out there, that is a whopping 4.3 standard score (or “z-score”) which…
