using my tweaked expectation formula I am coming up with -160 odds for Tampa Bay at home vs. Boston. The actual vegas odds opened at -125 and overnighted to -130 or so. This is telling me that the lines guys see more merit in taking Boston today. I'll take Boston for +1.5 -170 (.5 units)and the ML for +121 (.5 units)As for LAA, I like this one; I am seeing an expected line of -125 for the Toronto Blue Jays. The overnight is now +118 and moving towards +120. My calculations are showing each team playing above their means so that sort of makes this an anything goes game. I see a lot of value in taking the Jays since they were previously swept ...
More
