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Since August of 2010, Zack Greinke has been an absolutely smoking SU: 29-3 (2.6 rpg, +24.67 units) at home! Will he feel at home with the Angels today? Subscribe now and check out the raw numbers on this matchup!
*The New York Mets are 39-9 (+3.1 rpg, +29.35 units [+53.4% roi]) OVER the total since 2011 as +100 to +140 road dogs! This season, that’s 15-3 (3.47, 83.3%, +11.75 units) OVER the total. Today Homer Bailey (Reds) starts against the +137 Mets starting Harvey. Will this one go over the total?
Ryan Vogelsong of the San Francisco Giants is an amazing 17-0-0 (-2.7 rpg, +17 units) Under the total when he starts at home for less than -135 since 2011! By the way, the Giants averaged 2.6 runs vs. opponents with 1.5 runs and the SU: tally comes to a nice 13-4 +8.98 cool crisp units.
The Rangers are an odd duck without a doubt. Rarely have we seen a team that loosens the belt so much in any season after a good defensive performance. How does one define ‘good defensive performance?’ How about just roughing it and summing up runs allowed in their last game….The Texas Rangers are only 11-24 (-1.1 rpg) -25.49 units this season after a good game where they…
Atlanta Brave’s starter Kris Medlen is a stud and few know it. He’s 15-1 (+2.6 rpg, +14.76 units, +69.4% roi) after his first season in the MLB. In those games he’s had an average line of -124 and today he’s about -105 against Santana and the Mets. Are we seeing value or are we not seeing something the linesmakers are seeing. Check out what the raw numbers…
We’re now a solid 146-108-20 57.4% +29.57 units this MLB Season. Subscribe today for 6 months (includes NFL, NCAAF, WNBA and CFL) and save 35% by clicking this link.
Raw Numbers Project: HOUSTON 5.5 WASHINGTON 3.9 Take: Houston +1 +128 (1 unit) -The Houston Astros are 31-15 +20.45 units (+41.1% roi) since 2010 at home vs. lefties in any game other than the last game of a series. *In August, home +165+ non-division dogs off of a loss are 17-17 (+12.95 units). That’s +39.9% roi on the runline (a 1.8% increase).
*The Pittsburgh Pirates are 16-2 +14.36 units (+74.6% roi) this season at home for +120 to -120. Can the Pirates take down Miley and the D-Backs far from home in Pittsburgh today?
This season the Boston Red Sox are an incredible let down of a team for favorite bettors. They are a whopping disaster of 3-12 (-1.1 rpg, -17.8 units, +109.3% roi fade) as 160+ favorites. Today they are at home starting Morales against Nick Blackburn for roughly -190 odds and it would seem that the Twinkies would have the massive edge here. Historically though (since 2004), the Red…
Let’s face it, the Phillies are having a humbling season. We’ve snuffed out a very emotional trend here today for the 2012 season that lends support to elements of our modeling: previous champions or teams off of close playoff defeats become a bit disheveled moving forward (this happens in multiple sports). Anyways, this season the Phillies are only 7-27 (-2.3 rpg, -27.22 units, +69.2% fade) SU and…
*In August, home -150 to -200 division favorites (TEX) off of a loss (not series game 1) are 50-13 (+1.9 rpg, +28.1 units, +26% roi). -LAA is 3-18 (-2.4 rpg, -13.5 units) since 2010 as a 130+ road dog off of a win. –Texas is 120-78 +15.31 units since 2011 against right handed starters since 2011. -Yu Darvish is 7-2 (+2.67 rpg, 77.8%) +3.45 units at home…
TEXAS 5.5 ANGELS 3.7 -In his career, Jered Weaver is 70-26 (72.9%) +27.17 units at home. Most of the public bets are backing the ‘ace'(Weaver) today, but what the public fails to recognize is that Jered Weaver is a drastically different on the road (53-49 [52%] -1.14 units! That isn’t an incredibly powerful system, but we know this is something lending huge value to the Rangers today….
Here’s some food for thought: everyone hates Monday’s. The Braves dislike Monday’s more than most though: they are a nasty 0-12 losing by an average of 3.9 runs per game (Team: 1.5 Opp: 5.4). They’ve lost bettors 15.56 units and have been a +107.1% roi fade on Mondays. Does this reveal anything about baseball or the team? Will the Braves lose again today? Check the raw numbers…