Duel of the pitchers here? Probably not the best pitcher duel ever, but it will be interesting to see who breaks their trend today: *Chris Carpenter of the Cardinals is just 1-8 (-2.0 rpg, -11.9 units) since 2011 in all day games. That’s 6-14 -17.85 units since 2010; however, prior to 2010, Carpenter was 31-14 +8.5 units in day games. Our models like pitchers to regress to…
Justin Verlander is 41-20 (1.02, 67.2%) +$1019 as a home favorite against plus .500 opponents in his career. That’s 28-8 (1.83, 77.8%) +$1469 since 2009. Today the raw numbers agree with this and think the Tigers can pull the win. Free Play.
Baltimore is 53-41 +25.07 units (+25.6% roi) this season against plus .500 teams. That’s 28-22 +18.46 units (+36.9% roi) as road dogs (against +.500 teams)! Not only that, but Baltimore is 14-3 +13.17 units (+67.8% roi) on 1+ day of rest. I trust Baltimore in the playoffs a whole lot more than I do Texas. I think the public is thinking: “the second time is a charm”…
The Patriots are 34-19-0 (+6.4 ppg) under coach Bill Belichick after a loss. That’s 20-5-0 +9.9 ppg on the road and 7-3-0 ATS as a road favorite. 6-1-0 (+9.6 ppg) if the line is less than 6. Check out what the raw numbers say on this one. Can New England cover 4 points against Buffalo?
Since 1991, the Kansas City Chiefs are SU: 23-3 (+11.9 ppg, 88.4%) and 19-6-1 (+8.9 ppg) ATS at home after a game where they grabbed 170 or more total rushing yards. This week they are +1.5 at home against the Chargers. Check out what the computer has on this game.
This season the Oakland Athletics are 23-7 (+1.9 rpg, +21.66 units [+68.9% roi]) after losing 3 out of their last four games. Check out the raw numbers to see who the computer has on this game in Arlington.
Here’s something to consider for the next week of College football: Bobby Hauck is a nasty 0-14-0 (-33.79 ppg) SU and 1-13-0 (-14.07 ppg, 7.1%) ATS average line: +19.7 on the road with UNLV. They face Utah State on the road for +17 next week.
Mike Smith is 23-1-0 (+13.0 ppg, 19-5 ATS, +21 units) as the head coach of the Atlanta Falcons when facing a team below .500. This will be good to keep in mind for week 4 when the Falcons take on the Carolina Panthers at home.
Week Four NCAAF Trend: Momentum tends to carry over to the next game in College Football. Rice is 12-1-0 (+15.69 avg. ppg, 92.3%) OVER the total since 2006 after they allowed 50 points or more.
In Conference road games, Andy Reid is 24-11-0 (+3.4 ppg, 68.6%) ATS as the head coach of the Philadelphia Eagles if the Eagles didn’t cover the spread last game. Will the Eagles pull off the win and the Cover in Arizona this weekend. Only the raw numbers will tell. Sign Up today.
This first graph which averages (by day) casual covers.com sports consensus throughout 5 seasons may surprise the seasoned pro. The public IS in fact, by and large enormously successful as far as picking the winners of games when in greater than 59% bulk consensus! In fact, on average there isn't a single point in the entire average of 5 MLB seasons where the covers "all players" public has…
*The Pittsburgh Pirates are 16-2 +14.36 units (+74.6% roi) this season at home for +120 to -120. Can the Pirates take down Miley and the D-Backs far from home in Pittsburgh today?
Let’s face it, the Phillies are having a humbling season. We’ve snuffed out a very emotional trend here today for the 2012 season that lends support to elements of our modeling: previous champions or teams off of close playoff defeats become a bit disheveled moving forward (this happens in multiple sports). Anyways, this season the Phillies are only 7-27 (-2.3 rpg, -27.22 units, +69.2% fade) SU and…
Here’s some food for thought: everyone hates Monday’s. The Braves dislike Monday’s more than most though: they are a nasty 0-12 losing by an average of 3.9 runs per game (Team: 1.5 Opp: 5.4). They’ve lost bettors 15.56 units and have been a +107.1% roi fade on Mondays. Does this reveal anything about baseball or the team? Will the Braves lose again today? Check the raw numbers…
Here is a simple gem of a system: In the second half of an MLB season, look for a plus .500 home favorite revenging 2 or more straight losses as home favorites to another .500 opponent. Since 2005, this system is 67-21 (+1.6 rpg, +31.9 units, +22.7% roi). If the line is between -110 and -180, you are talking +40.9% roi and a 82.8% (53-11) winning clip!…
