74 Results for tag: home
*Since 2012, the Boston Red Sox are just 10-23 (-0.85 rpg, 30.3%, -28.47 units, +78.3% roi to fade) as -150 to -200
home favorites. This is a massive fail spot yielding big value. Today right handed pitcher Ryan Dempster starts off for John Farrell's Red Sox at
home for -200 with the total at 9 against John Gibbons' Toronto Blue Jays starting Chad Jenkins.
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Two big teams collide here with some BIG trends backing them:
*This season the Miami Heat are 19-2 (9.9 ppg, 90.5%) straight up on the money line for some huge return after 2+ games going over the total.
*Meanwhile, the Chicago Bulls are 11-5-2 (68.8%) ATS and 16-2 (+9.67 ppg, 88.9%) SU off of a
home loss this season (23-3 SU in the last two seasons!).
Tomorrow Tom Thibideau and Erik Spoelstra watch their teams' dramatics unfold in Chicago...the Bulls being 8 point
home favorites. That's a lot of value!
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*Since 2009, Oakland Athletic's starting pitcher Bartolo Colon is just 4-16 (-1.20, 20.0%, -14.25 units, +51.6% roi to fade) straight up after a start where the team allowed 2+
home runs.
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As most people know, a
home edge exists just about every North American sport and in mosts sports across the globe. Why? It is debatable as to why exactly, but it is something pretty close to this: the
home team has a psychological advantage over the visiting team as a result of playing in familiar facilities and in front of supportive fans.
Home edge is so powerful that from 2005 to 2010, blindly taking the
home underdog has yielded a 2050-2405 (46%, +100.02 units, +2.2% roi) record!
Since 2004, the
home edge has averaged a +4.3% edge in all MLB games (22.4k games)...
Which Month has had the Strongest
Home Advantage?
Since 2004,
home ...
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Game
Score
Status
Pick
Amount
Detroit
3
10:05 PM ET
Oakland +103 WON
0.80
Oakland
4
Houston
5
10:05 PM ET
Houston +177 WON
0.80
LA Angels
0
Over 8 Lost
0.80
*List: Norris / Hanson , Colon / Scherzer
In Houston:
*Since 2009, Underdogs are 99-86 +44.64 units (+24.1% roi) in April after losing 6 or more of their last 8 games.
-Auto play the Strong Over...
In Oakland:
*Since 2012, the Oakland A's are a whopping 34-13 +28.69 units (+56.7% roi!) after playing 4+ games on the road.
-That's 10-1 +9.4 units (+68% roi!) if they're now playing at
home.
-Since 2012, ...
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NBA DAILY RAW NUMBERS
Game
Score
Status
Pick
Amount
Atlanta
103
7:00 PM ET
Indiana -5.5
1.20
Indiana
114
WINNER!
Top play for today is again in NBA. Here is my main thought on Indiana vs. Atlanta:
*Since 2007, dogs off of a wretched
home loss where they scored less than 80 points are just 54-98-3 ATS (64.4%) ATS in their next game.
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