41 Results for tag: look
NFL 2011 FUTURES:
8.25.2011
I've got the raw results of three models here to calculate an edge for regular season wins. I am also including 2010 turnover margins as well as a public perception model. Have a
look at the chart here (https://docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&pid=explorer&chrome=true&srcid=14rORVKk3tandVIIzLqg26EFwM4zqtokHGFET1hRRF0O_f8n7nWZWkUpeKxgP&hl=en). One standard deviation is marked in orange. One point five standard deviations marked in dark orange. Two full standard deviations are marked in red. Regular edge's are marked in green. I've tallied up plus factors on the right. If you are confused, ...
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TOTAL RESULTS IN THE LAST YEAR:
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1093-979-35 52.7% +276.24%
If you paid me $200.00 (original subscribers @$25/mo.)...
$5 bettors/investors would have made: +$1381.20
$25 bettors/investors would have made: +$6,906.00
$50 bettors/investors would have made: +$13,812.00
$100 bettors/investors would have made: +$27,624.00
$300 bettors/investors would have made: +$82,872.00
$500 bettors/investors would have made: +$138,120.00
Even if you found a book that will take $1 wagers you'd still be
looking at $76.24 after your payments to me.
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Current (Pending):
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WNBA 2011:
9-1-0 ...
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Possibly my favorite win of the season so I'm posting this one. Felt great to call the Wizards to get their first win on a historically bad road record. Here was our write up from today:
"[811] Washington Wizards +1.5 over the Cleveland Cavaliers (3 units) WIN
Seems like a hard bet to take (this is the one I thought might be a shocker). The Cavs just got their first win in 26 games. Crack open the champagne and celebrate...and make them favorites the very next day. I've been waiting for a spot like this to play the Wizards; they are 0-25 on the road, and wound up like a coil about to snap. Cleveland may not see the Wizards ...
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We are
looking at the Cincinnati Reds' seasonal performance based expectancy. The blue line represents how well they have been performing in the last 15 days while the red line represent a cumulative performance data to date. Any deviation from the two lines usually means the team is under-performing or over-performing to their potential. This is an important factor to consider all season long when betting bases. We all love the theory of the law of averages, but you never know when to apply it. Right? Just because a team is doing poorly for example doesn't necessarily mean they are due to be a better one. What matters more is a considerat...
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Today I posted a good play in a different location; I apologize for that. If you aren't seeing anything in the blog please take a
look at the Todaysaction thread in MLB at SBRforum.com; there you will find mostly the same posts as well as some real top notch cappers. Be on the
lookout for Foghorn, and of course TodaysAction.Cheers fellas!If you have any questions email me at therber2@gmail.com
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