123 Results for tag: nfl
The New England Patriots are 19-3-0 (+11.59 ppg, 86.4%) SU 15-6-1 (+8.3 ppg, 71.4%) ATS under head coach Bill Belichick on the road after allowing 76 or fewer rushing yards.
This week, they'll square off against the Cincinnati Bengals on the road for +1 point with a Vegas Total set at 45.0.
Check out the Raw Numbers Today to see who takes this cake!
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NFL DAILY RAW NUMBERS
Game
Result
Status
Pick
Amount
N.Y. Giants
Lost!
1:00 PM ET
N.Y. Giants +4.5
2.00
Kansas City
-
Seattle
Winner!
1:00 PM ET
Seattle -2.5
1.40
Houston
-
Philadelphia
Winner!
4:25 PM ET
Denver -10.5
1.50
Denver
-
New England
Winner!
8:30 PM ET
New England +2
1.00
Atlanta
-
Reference (By Occurrence)....
Key NFL Margins of Victory: 3, 7, 10, 6, 4, 14, 1, 2, 17, 13, 8, 5
Key totals: 41, 37, 44, 51, 43, 33, 40, 47, 30, 48, 27, 45, 55, 23, 34, 38, 31
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***The Giants are 17-6-0 (+5.52 ppg, 73.9%) SU and have beaten expecations 18-5-0 (78.3%) ATS under head coach Tom Coughlin after two+ games gaining 100 or fewer rushing yards.
Key System: The League is 61-29 SU and 56-29-5 (65.9%) ATS since 2009 in this same situation when on the road for between +4 and -4 points. (Arizona seemed like a good pick too this week, but the raw numbers didn't agree; maybe take it small).
*Coughlin is also 25-20-0 SU and 30-15-0 (66.7%) ATS with the Giants on the road against plus .500 teams.
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Game
Result
Status
Pick
Amount
Houston
-
1:00 PM ET
Baltimore +1 +115
2.40
Baltimore
WINNER!
  (TOP PLAY)
TOP PLAY THOUGHTS:
In Baltimore:
You could either take the +1 and the dog odds on this spread or grab the +2.5 points. That is oddly all I'm seeing out there. I'm going to take the odds as we have this one projected to go:
BALTIMORE 28.5 to TEXANS 19.4
Adjusting to common team totals that should be more like:
BALTIMORE 27 to TEXANS 20
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Far less than half of the public bets are on the home dog here, and each team is littered with injuries. Key injuries wide receiver Andre Johnson for the Texans and Ray Rice on the ...
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Sunday, September 15
Game
Result
Status
Pick
Amount
Dallas
Winner!
1:00 PM ET
Dallas +3
1.50
Kansas City
-
Carolina
Winner!
1:00 PM ET
Buffalo +3
2.20
Buffalo
-
  (TOP PLAY)
New Orleans
Lost!
4:05 PM ET
New Orleans -3
1.80
Tampa Bay
-
  (Runner Up)
Detroit
Winner!
4:05 PM ET
Arizona +1.5
1.50
Arizona
-
Note: Mostly contrarian bets here so these should all gain more value closer to game time. Try the strategy of half on now half on later or just wait all the way until gametime on the dogs.
TOP PLAY THOUGHTS:
Both teams are coming off of close losses and one or both could be flat. I would say that ...
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*Since 2008, the OVER is 39-11-2 (+6.26 ppg, 78.0%) in the first half of the season in games where the road team previously was upset as a home favorite.
This week, that will include the WAS/GB, CLE/BAL, and PIT/CIN matchups with totals set respectively at 49.5, 44.0, and 40.5. Check out the raw numbers this week for free to see where you have consensus.
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