3 Results for tag: road dogs
Sent in our daily newsletter:
"Folks,
I thought I'd share one of my systems I'll be putting into the Killersports Trend package (discount link:Â http://killersports.com/trend_mart?discount_code=PCG_yH6zz2&store=PCG ) that does particularly well in June coming up; I'll walk you through it. Keep this one in your back pocket and try to avoid betting against it at a minimum.
The Broad Premise:
In Database History, Road Divisional Underdogs are 1612-2074 +69.3 units before July.
SDQL:Â AD and DIV and month<7
Logic:
There are two ideas / forces pushing this very broad dog system towards a profitable 50/50 coin toss:
A. ...
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Let's say you have a team that made the public money in an odd spot in MLB one season. It is very possible that this same team losing you money in the same spot next season isn't just natural or random. This may be a bookmaker exploit of the public. Using SDQL you can see that dollars regress each year.
Let's look at an example:
A Breakdown of MLB Teams as Expensive (-150 or more) Road Dogs In 2010:
SDQL Text: "team and season=2010 and site=away and line<=-150"
TEAM
$ON
W-L (marg, % win)
Reds
300
...
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Here's what I'm taking for Week Five:
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#189 Kentucky +30.5 (3 units) WINNER!
over LSU
This is too many point to give LSU. Kentucky is 3-1 ATS as a double digit dog since 1990 when playing LSU. The SEC has done well and double digit dogs on the road. Have a look at who else has done well there: line>=10 and conference and site and season (Note: remove "season" or define it as "season>YYYY" for more global results). Well in the last three seasons, SEC conference games have gone towards the home favorite more often than not for SU wins, but double digit ...
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