159 Results for tag: WON
So much for "Dog month"!
Some of you are new. Last season I got absolutely hosed in September MLB and then did fairly well in postseason betting dogs in both situations. I'm wary of dogs this year; even though I've always preached September as the month of the dog.
I have a lot of theories on why dogs have struggling late season recently when prior to about 2012 they always rocked. I think the big one, for me at least, is that an extra wild card spot was added pushing all contenders to fight to the bitter end. A good move by the MLB probably, for business; however, it didn't ...
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Nice hit on a big +188 dog yesterday.
2-2 about a half unit profit.
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MLB RAW NUMBERS​
Today's Action:
3:45PM Chicago Cubs (D. Haren) vs San Francisco Giants (M. Bumgarner)
[954] San Francisco Giants -155
1.00 unit
Same trend as before:Â Since July 2015, Home -120 to -250 favorites are 137-45 +70.2 units SU +25.2% roi as long as they didn't shut out their last opponent and they neither won a blowout or got blown out last game.
This is now at 187-68 +84.26 units 73.3% SU.
I'm not sure why this is working. It seems like the areas we're doing well in lately are very big dogs and bigger favorites than I've normally taken ...
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5-1 yesterday. Hell of a run we're on now going 16-3 since after the halfway point of this month. Here is what we played (tracked daily here: https://www.sportscapping.com/tom-herbert.html):
MLB RAW NUMBERS
Game
Result
Status
Pick
Amount
Miami
Won
2:10 PM ET
Milwaukee -145
1.00
Milwaukee
-
Atlanta
Won
3:40 PM ET
San Diego -162
1.00
San Diego
Lost
  Over 6.5
 1.00
NY Mets
Won
7:05 PM ET
Baltimore -124
1.00
Baltimore
-
Chi. White Sox
Won
10:05 PM ET
LA Angels -131
1.00
LA Angels
Won
  Under 7.5
 1.00
*All selections are supported by ...
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Nice 4-0 sweep yesterday. 3-1 the day before. I have confidence we may finish 10-20 units by the end of MLB playoffs.
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MLB RAW NUMBERS
Game
Result
Status
Pick
Amount
San Francisco
WINNER!
8:09 PM ET
St. Louis -148
1.00
St. Louis
-
Chi. White ...
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MLB RAW NUMBERS
Lots of plays checking in today. I'll tell you which my very best one is and also what came very close:
Game
Result
Status
Pick
Amount
Atlanta
Won
7:10 PM ET
Tampa Bay -173
1.00
Tampa Bay
-
Texas
Blew 2-0
8:10 PM ET
Rangers +105
1.00
Minnesota
Won
Â
Under 8.5
1.00
Philadelphia
Won
9:40 PM ET
Arizona -162
1.00
Arizona
-
Baltimore
XtraInnings
10:10 PM ET
Baltimore +107
1.00
Seattle
-
Cincinnati
Won
10:10 PM ET
San Diego -116
1.00
San Diego
-
BEST = PADRES
*CAME CLOSE : LAD, CLE
Dodgers and Cleveland ...
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Taking Edges
The bottom line in sports betting is not complicated. If you want to win, you will have to really work at it. Here are some insights into taking edges:
* Never bet on impulse.
How many times during the year does a bettor quickly scan a betting line, call his bookmaker and get into action? It is impossible to be successful by studying for 45 seconds and then betting basically on impulse.
* Always shop for the right price.
The biggest edge a bettor can have is to have more than one wagering outlet, and that is quite possible in this day of offshore bookmaking. You can look at 15 different lines from betting shops around the ...
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