Weekend Attendance in MLB Sports Betting
Up until about the end of July, you see Saturday and Sunday average per day attendance (since 2004) reach its highest level. It reflects the heightened interest and excitement surrounding the summer events and the growing popularity of mlb sports betting. This annual surge in numbers often leads to a festive atmosphere, with fans eagerly gathering to enjoy the games and create lasting memories with friends and family.
However, after this peak period, mlb sports betting attendance continues on a non-stop decline all the way up until playoffs. As the summer break fades and the excitement subsides, many attendees shift their focus to other activities and commitments, leading to a noticeable decrease in fan presence at the games. This drop-off serves as a stark reminder of the seasonal nature of sports attendance, with fluctuations heavily influenced by the time of year and the importance of the events taking place.
The average low point over a 12-year period is September 12th at 31,488.69 (low point) attendees on Saturdays or Sundays (the average and median over all data are 35,907.03 attendees and 34,806.52 attendees, respectively). On average, over the same 12-year period, July 28th hit a peak of 38,066.85 (high point) attendees.
HOW TO PROFIT OR SAVE LOSSES IN MLB SPORTS BETTING
I’ve already said, almost every day this month, days before this month happened, and many times in previous years, to look out for betting against home favorites in July as, historically, they’ve profitted on the blind. There is an obvious correlation between this occurence and the ebb and flow of ball park attendance. That is, when more people come to the game, the home team teams to do better, win more money and kill your road dog or fav bets.
Moving forward…
This month (July 2016), Home Favorites between -170 and -230 went 51-14 78.5% SU +24.07 units. This is right in a spot the public tends to feel comfortable: not too cheap and chancy, not too chalked up. Each month, we assess where the public made off and the is a setting point for where you’ll find traps moving forward; or call it a point of hypothesized regression.
Bottom line: From this point on, my base line thought is to cap the game well in sports betting and be mindful of a hypothesized trap trend for when you have -170 to -230 home favorites in mlb sports betting due to a public bias that may have developed over the last month. I will tend to avoid them, and if we don’t, consider passing those picks if you’re a safe player in sports betting or got a fat bankroll and are looking to cash it out now as the season begins to wind down…
NBA All Star Game Betting Trends
