Pretty simple here: Since 1990, home favorites in week one are 40-16-5 (+5.69 ppg, 71.4%) ATS if they are facing a team who had a betting win record last season than they did.Since 2001, that is 30-7 SU and 27-8 (+5.2 ppg, 77.1%) ATS [avg. line -3.5] (same conditions).
This week consider a second look at the following teams:
Broncos -7.5
Browns -1.0
Cowboys -3.5
Lions -5.0
Saints -3.0
Usually we’ll make a move on a team in this sort of spot when / if the system trigger matchups up with the raw numbers. You can check out the raw number here:Â https://www.procomputergambler.com/nfl/Â for FREE this week.
Tom H is the founder and lead analyst of ProComputerGambler.com, a long-running platform dedicated to data-driven sports betting insights. With more than a decade of experience building statistical models, tracking market behavior, and developing proprietary betting systems, Tom has established a reputation for disciplined analytics and transparent performance tracking. He combines rigorous data collection with practical wagering strategies to deliver actionable selections, system reports, and game projections to subscribers. His work emphasizes accuracy, verification, and long-term profitability grounded in advanced quantitative methods.
